Suppose a patient has a 1% chance of having a disease, and that he is sent for a diagnostic test with a 90% sensitivity (detects true positives) and 80% specificity (detects true negatives). What is the post test probability of having the disease if the patient is tested +ve? What is it if the patient is tested -ve? Please draw a decision tree for this question.

Answers

Answer 1

The post-test probability of not having a disease if the patient is tested -ve is approximately 99.8% is the answer.

Given that a patient has a 1% chance of having a disease and is sent for a diagnostic test with 90% sensitivity and 80% specificity. We need to find the post-test probability of having a disease if the patient is tested +ve and if the patient is tested -ve. Post-test probability is the probability of a patient having the disease after the diagnostic test.

We can find it using Bayes’ theorem.

Prior probability = 1% = 0.01Sensitivity = 90% = 0.9Specificity = 80% = 0.8False Positive Rate = 1 - Specificity = 0.2False Negative Rate = 1 - Sensitivity = 0.1

The decision tree for the problem is as shown below:  [tex]P(A) = 0.01[/tex][tex]P(\lnot A) = 0.99[/tex][tex]P(B|A) = 0.9[/tex][tex]P(\lnot B|A) = 0.1[/tex][tex]P(\lnot B|\lnot A) = 0.8[/tex][tex]P(B|\lnot A) = 0.2[/tex]

Using Bayes' theorem, we can find the post-test probability of having a disease if the patient is tested +ve and -ve.If the patient is tested +ve, we need to find the probability of having a disease.[tex]P(A|B)=\frac{P(B|A)P(A)}{P(B|A)P(A)+P(B|\lnot A)P(\lnot A)}[/tex][tex]=\frac{0.9*0.01}{0.9*0.01+0.2*0.99}[/tex][tex]\approx 0.043[/tex]

The post-test probability of having a disease if the patient is tested +ve is approximately 4.3%.

If the patient is tested -ve, we need to find the probability of not having a disease.[tex]P(\lnot A|\lnot B)=\frac{P(\lnot B|\lnot A)P(\lnot A)}{P(\lnot B|\lnot A)P(\lnot A)+P(\lnot B|A)P(A)}[/tex][tex]=\frac{0.8*0.99}{0.8*0.99+0.1*0.01}[/tex][tex]\approx 0.998[/tex]

The post-test probability of not having a disease if the patient is tested -ve is approximately 99.8%.

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Related Questions

What single or double digit numbers make a SUM of 40?

Please help, I will award brainliest, rate, and thank. Please include all possible answers!!!

No links, no fake answers, you will be reported.

Answers

The sum numbers are 1, 2, 4, 5, 8, 10, 20, 40

What is the solution to this system

Answers

Answer:

the solution to the system is (1,3)

Step-by-step explanation:

x = 1 , y = 3

Write the equation of the
line that is parallel to
y = 1.5x – 6 and passes
through the point (4,2).

Answers

Heyoo. I hope this help! Feel free to ask me any questions if you need any more help. I also included a detailed explanation for the steps I did.

:)

The equation of the line is (y - 2) = 1.5(x - 4)

What is line ?

Euclid described a line as an "unextended length" that "stands equally with respect to its points"; he introduced the postulates as the main unprovable properties from which he constructed all of geometry, now called Euclidean geometry to avoid confusion with other geometries introduced from the late 19th century (such as non-Euclidean, projective and affine geometry).

In modern mathematics, given the multiplicity of geometries, the concept of line is closely related to the way geometry is described. For example, in analytic geometry, a plane line is often defined as a set of points whose coordinates correspond to a given linear equation, but in a more abstract setting, such as drop geometry, the line may be an object other than the set. of the points located on it.

When geometry is described by a set of axioms, the concept of line is usually left undefined (so-called primitive object). The properties of the lines are then determined by the axioms that refer to them. One of the advantages of this approach is the flexibility it gives users of the geometry. Thus, in differential geometry a line can be interpreted as a geodesic (shortest path between points), while in some projective geometries a line is a 2-dimensional vector space (all linear combinations of two independent vectors). This flexibility also extends beyond mathematics and allows physicists, for example, to think of the path of a light ray as a line.

Given, [tex]y = 1.5x - 6....(1)[/tex]

We are comparing equation (1) with y = mx+c and get m = 1.5

It is also given required equation passes through the point (4,2)

We know, if slope of a equation m and the equation passes through (a,b) then equation of the line (y-b) = m (x-a)

Here,

[tex]m = 1.5 \\ a = 4 \\ b = 2[/tex]

So, required equation of the line [tex](y - 2) = 1.5(x - 4)[/tex]

Line related one more question:

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how do you put this writing expression into a equation;

A number added to 13 all divided by 2

Answers

Answer:

Step-by-step explanation:

Let x be the number.

(x + 13)/2

ederal Government Employee E-mail Use It has been reported that 88% of federal government employees use e-mail. If a sample of 210 federal government employees is selected, find the mean, variance, and standard deviation of the number who use e-mail. Round your answers to three decimal places.

Answers

The mean, variance, and standard deviation of the number of federal government employees who use e-mail can be calculated using the binomial distribution formula.

Given that 88% of federal government employees use e-mail, we can define the probability of success (p) as 0.88 and the number of trials (n) as 210.

The mean of a binomial distribution is given by μ = np, where μ is the mean and n is the number of trials. Therefore, the mean of the number of federal government employees who use e-mail is μ = 210 * 0.88 = 184.8.

The variance of a binomial distribution is given by [tex]\sigma^2 = np(1-p)[/tex], where [tex]\sigma^2[/tex] is the variance and n is the number of trials. Therefore, the variance of the number of federal government employees who use e-mail is σ^2 = 210 * 0.88 * (1-0.88) = 21.504.

The standard deviation of a binomial distribution is the square root of the variance. Therefore, the standard deviation of the number of federal government employees who use e-mail is σ = sqrt(21.504) ≈ 4.637.

In summary, the mean of the number of federal government employees who use e-mail is 184.8, the variance is 21.504, and the standard deviation is approximately 4.637. These values represent the average, spread, and deviation from the mean, respectively, for the number of federal government employees who use e-mail in a sample of 210 individuals.

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f(x) = = -X1 + X1X2 X2 – I1X2 Determine if this function is Lipschitz continuous (specify local or global). Note that this function is defined on R2.
Previous question

Answers

To determine if the function[tex]F(x) = -x1 + x1x2x2 - i1x2[/tex]is Lipschitz continuous, we need to examine its partial derivatives and check if they are bounded.

The function F(x) is defined on [tex]R^2,[/tex] so let's calculate its partial derivatives with respect to x1 and x2

∂F/∂x1 = [tex]-1 + x2^2[/tex]

∂F/∂x2 = [tex]x1x2 - i1[/tex]

Now, to determine Lipschitz continuity, we need to check if the partial derivatives are bounded on the given domain.

For ∂F/∂x1, we can see that it is not bounded because as x2 approaches positive or negative infinity, the value of ∂F/∂x1 also approaches positive or negative infinity, respectively. Therefore, ∂F/∂x1 is not bounded.

For ∂F/∂x2, we can also see that it is not bounded because as x1 approaches positive or negative infinity, the value of ∂F/∂x2 also approaches positive or negative infinity, respectively. Therefore, ∂F/∂x2 is not bounded.

Since both partial derivatives are not bounded, we can conclude that the function F(x) = -x1 + x1x2x2 - i1x2 is not Lipschitz continuous, neither locally nor globally, on the domain [tex]R^2.[/tex]

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Snowy's Snowboard Co. manufactures snowboards. The company used the function P(x) = -5x2 -30% + 675 to model its profits, where P(x) is the profit in thousands of dollars and x is the number of snowboards sold in thousands. How many snowboards must be sold for the company to break even?

Answers

The number of snowboards that must be sold for the company to break even is: 9000

How to solve Profit Functions?

The function that models the profit is given as:

P(x) = -5x² - 30x + 675

where:

P(x) is the profit in thousands of dollars

x is the number of snowboards sold in thousands

For the company to break even, it means that P(x) = 0. Thus:

-5x² - 30x + 675 = 0

Using quadratic formula to solve this gives us":

x = [-(-30) ± √((-30)² - 4(-5 * 675)]/(2 * -5)

x = 9

This is in thousands and means the break even will be when the sold amount is 9000 snowboards

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HELPPPPPPP
What is the value of x?

Answers

I.) 8
180 - 140 = 40.. divide that by 5 since it’s 5x, which’ ll leave you with 8.

Answer:

the angles are supplementary

so, 5x + 140 = 180

5x = 180 - 140

5x = 40

X = 40

5

X = 8

Find the general solution for the differential equation
x sinθ dθ + (x3− 2x2cosθ) dx = 0

Answers

Therefore, x^2 - x^2cosθ + C = 0 is the general solution of the given differential equation.

General solution of the given differential equation is x^2 - x^2cosθ + C = 0, where C is the constant of integration.

To solve the differential equation, we have to integrate the given equation. Here, x sinθ dθ + (x^3 - 2x^2cosθ) dx = 0.

Let's integrate it using separation of variables.

x sinθ dθ = - (x^3 - 2x^2cosθ) dx

Dividing both sides by x^2, we get

sinθ dθ/x - (x - 2cosθ) dx/x^2 = 0

Now, integrate the above equation.

∫sinθ dθ/x - ∫(x - 2cosθ) dx/x^2 = ln|C|

Simplifying the above equation, we get

- cosθ/x + 1/x - x^(-1) sinθ = ln|C|

Multiplying both sides by -x, we get

cosθ - x + x^2 sinθ = -x ln|C|

Rearranging the terms, we get

x^2 - x^2cosθ + ln|C| = 0

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Each glass vase at a Mother’s Day brunch has 8 stems, of which 37.5% are stems of greenery. How many stems of greenery are in each vase?

Answers

I believe the answer is there are 3 stems of greenery in each vase.

You just do 8 times 37.5% or 0.375 and get 3.

1. What values of a, b, and c would you use in the quadratic formula for the following equation?
5x^2 +9x=4
A.a= -4, b = 9, c = 5
B.a=5, b= 9, c = -4
C.a=5, b= 4, c = 9
D.a= 5, b = 9, c=4​

Answers

Answer:

D

Step-by-step explanation:

because it is the answer that I think of

32 is 10% of what number?

Answers

32 is 10% of 320
To find the answer I multiplied 32 by 10
Brainliest would be nice

What does an insurance actuary do?

Answers

Answer:

An insurance actuary is a professional that analyzes financial risk using mathematics, statistics, and financial theories.

Step-by-step explanation:

Most actuaries work in the insurance industry and help insurance companies create and price insurance policies based on the likelihood that they will have to pay out claims.

Hope this helped!!!

calculate the power of the pump which can lift 400kg of water to be stored in a water tank at a height of 19m and 40s (take g=10/s2)​

Answers

Hi, here it is !
I hope this help...

What is the vertex of the graph of the function f(x) = x2 + 8x - 2?
O (4.18)
O (0,-2)
O (-8,-2)
0 (4-18)

Answers

Answer:

Vertex is (-4, -18)

Step-by-step explanation:

f(x) = [tex]ax^{2} +bx +c[/tex]

Let (h, k) be the vertex

An easy way to find h is to use the formula h = -b/2a

In your case where f(x) = [tex]x^{2} +8x - 2[/tex]   a = 2 and b = 8

So, h =  -8/2(1) = -8/2 = -4

Substitue -4 in for x to find k

k = ([tex]-4^{2}[/tex]) + 8(-4) - 2

  = (16) - 32 - 2

  = 16 - 32 - 2

  = -18

Vertex is (-4, -18)

Note:  Another way to find the vertex is to complete the square, but this can really be difficult in some cases

Answer:

Option D, (-4,-18)

Step-by-step explanation:

got it right on edge

Mrs. Baxter deposits $2,000 in an account that earns 5% sample
interest, How much interest does Mrs Batter's investment en ter
8 years


The answer is $480!

Answers

Answer:

$800 in interest

Step-by-step explanation:

T = A(1 + rt)

T = 2,000(1 + .05(8))

T = 2,000(1.4)

T = 2800

2800 - 2000 = 800

Please help!!! Thank youu

Answers

Answer:

3rd choice

Step-by-step explanation:

You start with: aebt = c

Divide both sides by a: ebt = c/a

Take the natural log: ln(ebt) = ln(c/a)

which gives you: bt = ln(c/a)

Divide by b: t = ln(c/a) / b.

Si se tiene una tabla de 2.0 m de largo y de ancho 0.3 m, el área de toda la tabla es?

Answers

Answer:

solo multiplica los dos numeros 2x3= 6.

Answer:

aeaa axxd

Step-by-step explanation:

Need someones help on this!

Answers

I think the answer is B hope this helps!

how do i find a unit rate​

Answers

Answer:

numerator divided by denominator

Step-by-step explanation:

numerator divided by denominator

PLS PLE HELP IM BETYINY AND DONT GIVE ME THOSE LINKS THAT GIVE U A VIRUS

A small town is trying to establish a transportation system of large and small vans.
It can spend no more than $100,000 for purchasing both sizes of vehicles and no
more than $500 per month for maintenance. The town can purchase a small van for
$10,000 and maintain it for $100 per month. The large vans cost $20,000 each and
can be maintained for $75 per month. Each large van carries a maximum of 15
passengers
and each small van carries a maximum of 7 passengers. Find the
maximum number of passengers the transportation system can handle given the
constraints. How many large and small vans will they need to maximize the
number of passengers it can service?

Answers

i found this i hope it can help

Anyone know where you can find answers for a geometry test?

Answers

Answer:

quizlet or quizzes

Step-by-step explanation:

4 Luke's math scores for this grading period are listed below. 84, 86, 83, 78, 92, 87, 92, 90, 88, 86 What is the mean of the data set graphed on the dot plot? (10 Points) X X Х ХХ ХХХ xx 日中 85 90 95 70 75 80 F H​

Answers

Answer:

86.6

Step-by-step explanation:

Add them all up and divide by how many scores

Please help me! Only have about 10 minutes until I have to submit this assignment!

Answers

Answer:

626

Step-by-step explanation

The answer is 626 I think

state the equation of a line with slope m=2 and y intercept =3 then graph the line

Answers

Answer:

y=2x+3

The coefficient attached to x is the slope and the number being added to it is the y intercept.

Please see the attached image

What is the lateral surface of the prism shown here

If you know the answer pls help I’ll give brainliest

Answers

Answer:

The lateral surface area of the prism shown is 1021 unit^2.

Step-by-step explanation:

2((21*9)/2) + (17*16) + (21*16) + (14*16) = 1021 unit^2

Answer: The lateral surface area of a prism is the sum of the areas of its lateral faces. The total surface area of a prism is the sum of the areas of its lateral faces and its two bases

=ph where p represents the perimeter of the base and h represents the height of the prism.

Part C
Calculate the ratio of the lengths of the two line segments formed on each transversal. You will have two sets of calculations. Round your answers to the hundredths place. What do you notice about the ratios of the lengths for each transversal? How do they compare?

Answers

Answer:

Line segment PM = 4.2 length

ML = 6.2

ON = 3

NK = 2

Step-by-step explanation:

Just got it on plato your welcome:)

The segments formed by each transversals and the three parallel lines are

proportional according to the three parallel lines theorem.

The observations are;

The parallel lines divide the transversals in equal proportions, such that the ratio of the lengths of each transversal are equal.

[tex]\displaystyle \mathrm{ Ratio \ of \ the \ segments ;\ }\frac{\overline{CB}}{\overline{AB}} = \frac{\overline{EF}}{\overline{DE}}[/tex]

Reasons:

The question is a four part question

Let the equations of the parallel lines be as follows;

Line, x; y = x

Line, y; y = x + 1

Line z; y = x + 2

The points at which transversal 1 intersect the lines x, y, and z, are;

A(0.4, 0.4), B(0.6, 1.6), and C(0.8, 2.8)

The length of segment [tex]\overline{AB}[/tex] = √((0.6 - 0.4)² + (1.6 - 0.4)²) = 0.2·√(37)

The length of segment [tex]\mathbf{\overline{CB}}[/tex] = √((0.8 - 0.6)² + (2.8 - 1.6)²) = 0.2·√(37)

The ratio of the lengths of the segment formed by transversal 1 is therefore;

[tex]\sqrt{x} \displaystyle Ratio \ of \ the \ length \ of \ the \ segments = \mathbf{\frac{\overline{CB}}{\overline{AB}}} =\frac{2 \cdot \sqrt{37} }{2 \cdot \sqrt{37} } = 1[/tex]

The points at which transversal 2 intersect the lines x, y, and z, are;

D(1.1, 3.1), E(1.3, 2.3), and F(1.5, 1.5)

The length of segment [tex]\overline{DE}[/tex] = √((1.3 - 1.1)² + (2.3 - 3.1)²) = 0.2·√(17)

The length of segment [tex]\overline{EF}[/tex] = √((1.5 - 1.3)² + (1.5 - 2.3)²) = 0.2·√(17)

[tex]\sqrt{x} \displaystyle Ratio \ of \ the \ length \ of \ the \ segments = \mathbf{\frac{\overline{EF}}{\overline{DE}}} =\frac{0.2 \cdot \sqrt{17} }{0.2 \cdot \sqrt{17} } = 1[/tex]

Therefore;

[tex]\displaystyle \frac{\overline{CB}}{\overline{AB}} = \frac{\overline{EF}}{\overline{DE}} = 1[/tex]

Which gives;

The proportion with which the parallel lines divide the transversals are equal.The ratio of the lengths for each transversal are equal.

The the comparison can also be made with the triangle proportionality theorem.

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How many solutions does the equation 5x + 3x – 4 = 10 have?
O Zero
O One
O TWO
O Infinitely many
be
????

Answers

Answer:

Step-by-step explanation:

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cecewiliams23

08/12/2016

Mathematics

High School

answered

How many solutions does the equation 5x + 3x − 4 = 10 have

2

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Answer

4.0/5

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MathGeek289

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This Must Only Have One Solution, Because The Right Side Of The Equation Is Just Plainly Ten. Lets Solve This:

5x + 3x - 4 = 10

Add Four To Both Sides To Begin Simplifying.

5x + 3x = 14

Now, Combine Like Terms.

8x = 14

Divide:

8x/8 = 1X = X

14/8

X = 14/8

14/8 = 1.75

X = 1.75

Check:

(5 * 1.75) + (3*1.75) - 4 = 10

8.75 + 5.25 - 4 = 10

14 - 4 = 10

10 = 10.

This Is True, So X Does Equal 1.75

The perimeter of a triangle is 44 inches. The length of one side is twice the length of the shortest side, and the length of the other side is eight inches longer than the length of the shortest side.
Choose a variable and tell what that variable represents.

Answers

Answer:

side a = Smallest = 9 inches

side b = 18 inches

side c = 17 inches

Step-by-step explanation:

The formula for the perimeter of a triangle = side a + side b + side c

side a = Smallest

The perimeter of a triangle is 44 inches.

The length of one side is twice the length of the shortest side

Hence:

b = 2a

The length of the other side is eight inches longer than the length of the shortest side.

Hence,

c = 8 + a

Hence, we substitute into the Intial formula

a + 2a + 8 + a = 44 inches

4a + 8 = 44

4a = 44 - 8

4a = 36

a = 36/4

a = 9 inches

Solving for b

b = 2a

b = 2 × 9 inches = 18 inches

Solving for c

c = a + 8

c = 9 inches + 8 = 17 inches

Rectangular prism surface area

Answers

Answer:

Surface area is the sum of the areas of all faces (or surfaces) on a 3D shape. A cuboid has 6 rectangular faces. To find the surface area of a cuboid, add the areas of all 6 faces. We can also label the length (l), width (w), and height (h) of the prism and use the formula, SA=2lw+2lh+2hw, to find the surface area.

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